"Dengue Fever in US" Headlines: Not Breaking News
When the "Dengue Fever1 in Key West" story broke last week, we were all set to regale you on the IPCC's prediction of tropical diseases expanding their range, Disney cruise lines re-routing their vessels and tourists canceling their vacations.  It was a good thing other activities got in the way of blogging.  As it turns out, the story gets much more interesting.   
 
 One of the concerns raised by climate change is that tropical diseases such as malaria and dengue fever will infect more people.  The theory is that the altitudinal and latitudinal ranges of the vector - the mosquito - will increase as temperature rises.  This is turn will bring infected mosquitoes in contact with more people and raise the incidence of disease.  In 2007, it was reported "Climate change is accelerating the spread of dengue fever throughout the Americas and in tropical regions worldwide."  http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/09/070921-dengue-warming.html.  The science, however, since then concludes that climate change is a minor factor in the incidence of dengue and attributes more significance to population growth, urbanization, lack of sanitation, increased long-distance travel, ineffective mosquito control, and increased reporting capacity.  http://www.cdc.gov/dengue/entomologyEcology/climate.html
 
The "Dengue Fever in Key West" story may have hit the national press last week, but it was the subject of a Department of Homeland Security "National Terror Alert" in May, http://www.nationalterroralert.com/updates/2010/05/23/dengue-fever-hits-key-west-florida/, after the CDC reported in its Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report of an increased incidence in Key West based on cases emerging in the previous 10 months.  http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5919a1.htm    The CDC made no connection to climate change:  "Why dengue has reemerged in Florida at this time is unknown. Dengue might have been present in the community earlier and is only now being detected. The environmental and social conditions for dengue transmission have long been present in south Florida: the potential for introduction of virus from returning travelers and visitors, the abundant presence of a competent mosquito vector, a largely nonimmune population, and sufficient opportunity for mosquitoes to bite humans."
 
If not new news, what precipitated the national furor?  It turns out that the CDC resurrected the story with a press release in anticipation of the International Conference on Emerging Infectious Diseases held last week in Atlanta.  The CDC announced:  "Report Suggests Nearly 5 Percent Exposed to Dengue Virus in Key West."  http://www.cdc.gov/media/pressrel/2010/r100713.htm  This headline was based on the cases reported in the May report, which were then extrapolated to the Key West population, but using an inaccurate value.  http://www.keysnet.com/2010/07/17/239503/cdc-errs-in-level-of-dengue-cases.html Key West authorities were upset and extracted this statement from the CDC (which was reported yesterday):  "In no way, shape or form do we want to discourage people from going to Key West."
 
So what can we take from all this?  First, while climate change may be involved in many of the changes we see around us, it may not be the significant factor in the new event.  Second, the headline may not accurately state the substance of the story.  As the CDC acknowledges, the conditions "have long been present" for dengue in Key West and the current detections may be reflective of ongoing but undetected dengue infections.   Third, someone's ox is always gored.  The CDC's paramount concern is protecting the public health.  But that is tempered with its knowledge of the economic harm an epidemiological indictment of an area can cause.   Public officials will not let the CDC forget that part of the equation.   
 
And now we come back to Disney cruises and vacations.  The CDC reports that the most effective way to protect against dengue fever is to avoid being bitten, which might suggest canceling a cruise or a vacation.  A cautious traveler will have procured travel insurance; however, a word of caution is in order:  read your cancellation coverage; not all policies cover cancellation for an epidemic or fear of an epidemic.
 
1Dengue or dengue fever is a tropical disease infecting globally nearly 100,000,000 people annually; 25,000 of those infections turn out to be fatal.  Symptoms of dengue fever are high fever, headaches, eye pain and joint pain.  Dengue is not uncommonly reported along the Texas-Mexico border.  Before detection in 2009, it had not been seen in Florida since 1934.
NFIP Renewal. Finally. For a Moment.

Well, they finally got around to it. Since May 31 the National Flood Insurance Program has had no authority to issue flood insurance contracts. The House approved extending the NFIP's authority on June 23, the Senate on June 30, and the President signed the bill July 2, retroactive to June 1 (fittingly, the first day of the official Atlantic hurricane season). This is not a new circumstance. The NFIP's authority first lapsed on March 1, again on March 28 and will do so again on September 30, absent a long-term extension.

So what does it mean when the NFIP can't make loans? Dante described a place of sadness and hopelessness in Limbo, the first circle of hell. The metaphor seems apt: a would-be home or small business buyer that cannot get required flood insurance, cannot purchase; she is stuck in a bureaucratic Limbo from which there is no escape but the grace of Congress. Ditto for the home or small business seller.

Is there reason to think otherwise? The various National Flood Insurance Acts forbid lenders from making loans on property located in a Special Flood Hazard Area where federal flood insurance is available. 42 U.S.C. § 4012(a). Since the lapse in NFIP authority means that federal flood insurance is not available, lenders are authorized to make loans on property in the flood plain, without requiring flood insurance first. The FDIC confirms this in its May 7, 2010 Financial Insitution Letter FIL-23-2010 (click here.) 

However, lenders are not released from the obligations under the Acts to make flood determinations, provide notices to borrowers and otherwise comply with the flood insurance regulations. The FDIC confirms that lenders "should evaluate safety-and-soundness and legal risk and prudently manage those risks during the lapse period." Lenders are also required to establish a program to ensure that borrowers obtain flood insurance when (as has happened) the program is reauthorized.

So, what is a prudent lender to do during the lapse period. The FDIC recommends: 1) postpone closing the loan (see Limbo above), 2) close the loan and require the borrower to obtain private flood insurance (which, if such existed at favorable rates, would demonstrate the NFIP is unnecessary), and 3) make the loan without requiring the borrower to apply for flood insurance. But that is a Catch-22 as well. As the FDIC points out, "Each lender remains responsible for protecting its collateral from risk in a manner appropriate to the circumstances ...." If the property is in a SFHA, a loan is given and the property is destroyed by flood, what regulator will recognize that as a prudent lending practice "appropriate to the circumstances"?

So, even if lenders may lend when the NFIP lapses, it seems evident that they will not. As we have written before, the NFIP has numerous issues (premiums that do not match risk, billion dollar deficits, lack of penetration into the populations at risk). Serial lapses of authority and serial reauthorization simply compound these problems.

A Cell Phone EMF Ordinance in San Francisco - Bad Precedent for the Smart Grid
In a setback for cell phone providers, San Francisco is likely to become the first city in America to require cell phone companies to provide information on how much RF (radiofrequency) radiation their devices emit.  Yesterday San Francisco's board of supervisors voted 10-1 to approve this requirement and it is expected that the mayor will sign the ordinance into law.  Opponents of the measure point out that all cell phones emit at levels far below federal standards.  The new law is likely to create expectations in consumers that cell phones with lower emissions are safer, when there is no evidence this is the case.
 
What does this have to do with climate change and renewable energy?  We were hoping you would ask.  California is also the site of challenges to the Smart Grid1 based on assertions of unacceptable risks arising from electromagnetic radiation emitted by the devices comprising the Smart Grid's Home Area Network.  Notwithstanding the ubiquity of electromagnetic radiation emitted by cell phones and wireless networks, a small group of determined opponents, the EMF Safety Network, has asked the California Public Utilities Commission to modify its final opinions on the applications of Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) "for authority to deploy an Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) project known now as the Smart Meter program," and to change the technology used in the Smart Meter program (Click here).
 
The Network is no shrinking violet.  It successfully challenged a wireless provider that wished to provide free wireless service to downtown Sebastopol, California.  Today, although you can get wireless at Starbucks in Sebastopol, do not look for it in Ives Park. 
 
Against PG&E the Network argues that the Commission "did not adequately address health, environmental, and safety impacts related to widespread deployment of RF Smart Meter technologies, either in the scoping memo or the decision in either proceeding."  According to the Network "PG&E’s Smart Meter RF emissions data is inconsistent, contradictory and at odds with other RF expert findings. An independent RF emissions study, reflecting actual operating conditions for the Smart Meter program, is critical for interested parties to evaluate evidence of health, environmental, and safety impacts, including but not limited to Federal Communications Commission (FCC) compliance."
 
We don't want to give too much, or even any, credit to the Network's arguments.  A paper they like to cite, the BioInitiative Report, has been reviewed by the EMF working group of the European Commission. (Click here) The group's words are plain: 
 
Ms Cindy Sage of Sage Associates (USA) is the author of the "Summary for the public" that is written in an alarmist and emotive language and whose arguments have no scientific support from well-conducted EMF research. She is also the author of five more chapters (with a total of 6 out of 17 chapters) and the co-author of the final key chapter on policy recommendations.

There is a lack of balance in the report; no mention is made in fact of reports that do not concur with authors’ statements and conclusions. The results and conclusions are very different from those of recent national and international reviews on this topic (see Annex 1 and 2).

The Network's other arguments are equally far out of the mainstream.  Nevertheless, PG&E has to deal with them.  And so will other utilities.  We have seen similar types of attacks before.  In our work dealing with concerns over radioactive isotopes in the baby teeth of children living around nuclear power plants, the same tired unsupported pseudo-scientific arguments were trotted out at public meetings in numerous jurisdictions.  As soon as one public health authority or nuclear regulator rejected the position, it would surface in the state next door as if it had never been knocked down. Nevertheless, the regulators did not back down and continued to close the door to the Tooth Fairy Project (as it called itself).
 
Utility regulators should do the same with these attacks on the Smart Grid.  The public health risk from climate change is immense.  The Smart Grid is one of the technologies central to reducing carbon emissions and efficiently utilizing numerous energy resources.  We adopt pseudo-science and alarmism at our peril.
 
1For those unfamiliar with the Smart Grid, briefly described, the Smart Grid applies digital processing and communications technology to the electricity distribution system, all the way to the end user.  Application of this technology permits, among other things, utilities to better manage demand (including that of individual households), connect small power sources such as solar cells and individual wind turbines to the grid, and respond to power grid failures.  In the end this should lead to increased efficiency and reliability of the grid and will save consumers money and reduce carbon dioxide emissions.
TransCanada renewable lawsuit scores a win in MA

It’s only been about three months since TransCanada Power Marketing Ltd. sued the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities (DPU), its commissioners, and several other Commonwealth agencies, claiming that Section 83 of the Green Communities Act discriminates against out-of-state renewable energy projects in violation of the U.S. Constitution, but the case has already scored a win for TransCanada.

This week, the DPU issued an emergency rule eliminating the in-state requirement from the regulation that mandates electric utilities buy their renewable energy from projects installed in Massachusetts or off-shore wind in the Cape Cod area.  The emergency rule came just 9 days after TransCanada filed a notice of dismissal “with prejudice” to drop its lawsuit against the three named individual commissioners of the DPU.

Renewable energy industry insiders were buzzing with talk about this case at the 17th Annual New England Energy Conference in Providence, RI, Monday and Tuesday.  Rumors had it that Commonwealth lawyers and officials were anxious to settle with TransCanada to make this case go away.  And so the emergency rule issued on June 9th takes a major step in that direction.  In fact, the Boston Herald observed this week that the Legislature apparently suspected this provision was unconstitutional when the Green Communities Act was enacted two years ago because the act allowed the DPU to specifically strike down the provision in the event of legal action to challenge it.

Without a court decision on the merits of the TransCanada case, however, the question remains how far a state can go in promoting in-state installations of renewable energy projects without running afoul of the Dormant Commerce Clause of the U.S. Constitution. Can a state survive a constitutional attack if it mandates in-state renewable installations in exchange for in-state qualifying renewable energy certificates?

While it’s possible the federal court in Massachusetts might get a chance to decide this issue as part of TransCanada’s pending motion for a preliminary injunction, I expect that the rest of the case will get settled quickly as well and the court will not get a chance to issue a decision on the merits.  We will likely have to wait another day for the courts to answer the constitutional questions presented by renewable carve-out provisions.

MIRANT Sues in Challenge to Montgomery County Carbon Tax

"First in the nation" touts one website. Another speaks of the "kickstart ... to a low-carbon future." Montgomery County, Maryland has leaped over the gridlock in Washington and passed a tax of $5 per ton from any stationary source emitting more than a million tons of carbon dioxide per year. One web site quotes the bill's sponsor: "This is a chance for us to lay claim to a revenue stream and clean up after a polluter at a time when we are under financial constraints." (click here) There is no dissembling here. Two points come through loud and clear: 1) carbon dioxide is being lumped in with PM10, NOx and SOx, mercury and all the other things that might go up a stack; and 2) a new revenue stream has been found and tapped.

We try to avoid political statements on the blog so we will mostly avoid commenting on the second point. But the first bears discussion.

Carbon dioxide goes up a stack in company with another ubiquitous and effective greenhouse gas: water vapor. Both are present in the atmosphere in billions of tons. They are natural and essential parts of the ecosystem. Every animal exhales them, and every plant takes them in. Indeed, life as we know it would not exist without either. With respect to human activities, both are unavoidable products of combustion. Which is the most prevalent? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reports that water vapor is the "most abundant greenhouse gas in the atmosphere." So are we really talking about pollution, or is this an inaccurate shorthand that gets people emotionally involved, but obscures larger issues?

Mirant Corporation has identified some of those larger issues and through its subsidiary brought suit Tuesday to block the implementation of Montgomery County's new law. Click here for Complaint. Mirant asserts numerous state and federal constitutional grounds such as due process and equal protection, and that the law constitutes a bill of attainder and an excessive fine.

One argument is especially of interest from the standpoint of climate change initiatives. In Count VI Mirant invokes Maryland's implementing legislation and regulations for the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) and argues that those laws pre-empt any county measure addressing carbon dioxide emissions. Maryland has a fairly substantial jurisprudence on preemption of local law so this will not be decided in a vacuum. Whether preempted or not, from our seat we believe it will be difficult for a state to achieve an effective greenhouse gas policy if a county government can influence the activities of the utilities within county boundaries and tap those utilities as new revenue streams. Mirant points out in its complaint that "leakage" (the sale of electricity into Maryland by utilities outside the RGGI states and thus not subject to carbon dioxide proscriptions) will occur if it is forced to bear higher costs in Montgomery County than its non-regulated competitors. Further, because other jurisdictions have less stringent air pollution regulations, the effect of the Montgomery tax will be to increase the amount of pollution (i.e., PM10, NOx and SOx, mercury, etc.) emitted into the atmosphere.

One of the accolades heaped on RGGI (and its counterparts the Western Climate Initiative and the Midwest Greenhouse Gas Reduction Accord) is that it constitutes a laboratory in which to test various climate change policies. Mirant's suit tees up the question of whether a laboratory within a laboratory is a good idea.

2010 Hurricane Season: A Product of Climate Change, or Not?

On Monday night on the last day of May we will make our way home from our various Memorial Day activities and on Tuesday welcome the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season.  It looks ominous.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reports that this year could be “one of the more active on record.”  A few things form the basis for this prognostication.

First, wind shear in the upper atmosphere is deadly for hurricanes.  In 2009 El Niño in the eastern Pacific was strong, and so was the wind shear it generated.  This year El Niño has dissipated.  Second, sea surface temperatures are higher than average.  Low wind shear and high sea surface temperature support hurricane formation.  Third, favorable wind flows off the west coast of Africa are expected.  Scientists refer to the pattern of warm waters and favorable winds over decades as the “tropical multi-decadal signal.”  A component of the tropical multi-decadal signal is the “Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation” or AMO, which is primarily identified with Atlantic sea surface temperatures.  The current state of the oscillation favors the formation of hurricanes and began in 1995.

It is worth noting that the AMO arises independently of climate change.  The IPCC includes a discussion of the AMO in its 2007 report.  The language is dense but the graphs are not and I commend them to you. Click here.  To even a lay reader like myself, it is quite apparent that something is cycling and that, whatever it is, we are in the middle of the hot portion.

So the interesting question is whether the AMO and climate change together will lead to more severe and more frequent hurricanes.  A working group of the World Meteorological Organization addressed this question in a statement published in 2006. Click here.  To quote the WMO:  “The scientific debate … is not as to whether global warming can cause a trend in tropical cyclone intensities. The more relevant question is how large a change:  a relatively small one several decades into the future or large changes occurring today?”

This is no small question.  If climate change will increase the severity and frequency of hurricanes today, then many of the steps society is taking right now may be inadequate.  Building codes, zoning decisions, and emergency response planning are all based on the likely scenarios to be encountered.  But it just may be that we don’t know the likely scenarios.  By the same token, if the climate change effect will not be noticed for decades, strategies for adaptation can be successful.

The WMO working group meets again at the end of hurricane season in November.  For planning purposes, let’s hope they can provide more guidance.  In the meantime, maybe a trip to Kansas is in order.

Cape Wind Approval Signals (Regulatory) Tide is Turning for U.S. Offshore Wind Development

Several European countries already have offshore wind farms, including Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.  Earlier this year, China completed the installation of its Shanghai Donghai Bridge offshore wind farm project, which has a total installed capacity of 102 MW (enough to power 200,000 Shanghai homes) and is the first large scale offshore wind farm constructed outside Europe.  As for the United States, the Department of Interior (DOI) had issued a report last April which noted (in part) that 28 of the contiguous states have a coastal boundary (including the Great Lakes), 78% percent of the electricity demand in the United States is from the coastal states, and offshore wind has the potential to meet a large proportion of that demand.  As analyzed by the National Renewable Energy Lab, over 1,000 gigawatts (GW) of wind potential exists off the Atlantic Coast and over 900 GW of wind potential exists off the Pacific Coast.  Despite the great potential for offshore wind in the United States, not one offshore wind project has been approved for construction in the United States…until now.  On Wednesday, April 28, 2010, Secretary Salazar approved the Cape Wind project to be constructed on the intercontinental shelf off of Massachusetts.  The regulatory tide is turning… 

Approval of the Cape Wind offshore wind project despite contentious opposition by certain groups provides regulatory support for offshore wind and provides some guidance for several other offshore projects that have been proposed in the last few years.  The development of wind projects in the United States, which are (by all accounts) capital-intensive, has been hampered by concerns about the financial markets, the overall economic downturn, regulatory uncertainty as to the future role for renewables in energy policy, and environmental issues.  While Congress has yet to pass comprehensive climate and energy legislation, the approval of the Cape Wind project signals that large scale renewable energy development can play a role in economic recovery and in energy independence and that opposition by those who believe offshore wind farms are unsightly will not prevail when other factors align in favor of the development.  

The process for the Cape Wind project began in 2001, when Cape Wind Associates, LLC, submitted an application to the United States Army Corps of Engineers (the Corps) for a permit to construct an offshore wind power facility in Nantucket Sound.  Public review and opposition followed.  According to the DOI, the proposed Cape Wind project is expected to meet 75% of the electricity demand for Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard, and Nantucket combined and cut carbon dioxide emissions from traditional power plants by 700,000 tons per year.  The Cape Wind facility will occupy a 25-square-mile section of Nantucket Sound and produce enough energy to serve more than 200,000 homes in Massachusetts.  The maximum energy output of Cape Wind is 468 MW, with an average anticipated output of 182 MW.  The project includes a 66.5-mile buried submarine transmission cable system, an electric service platform, and two 115-kV lines connecting to the mainland power grid.

Success begets success.  And so, even though the United States is not the first country to approve the construction of an offshore wind farm, this is very encouraging for wind energy developers, the construction industry, and financial investors who were waiting to see whether the 9-year old Cape Wind proposal would pass regulatory - and especially environmental - muster and then survive the aesthetic opposition raised by some.       

Wind Projects and Insurance - CAPE WIND Approval Makes This Even More Important

Movie production or distribution is not something I get to do every day.  Or even at all.  But this opportunity is proving hard to pass up.  What happens when a windmill fails?  Let’s watch what happened in Denmark in February 2008.  http://www.windaction.org/videos/14294.  Can you get insurance for this?  And what about other problems that wind farm owners and operators might face? 

This is not of obscure interest.  Last night Interior Secretary Salazar made a decision on whether the Cape Wind wind farm project in Nantucket Sound can move forward:  he approved it.  Proponents assert this is the harbinger of a $270 billion industry and can be the source of 75% of the energy needed by Cape Cod, Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard.  Critics point to desecration of Native American sites and rituals, as well as the destruction of unique and beautiful views.  (It seems hard to believe that nine years have passed since the project was announced. But that is due process. In the end the Secretary’s decision coincided with the views of Mass Audubon, the NRDC, the Conservation Law Foundation, the governors of Maryland, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Delaware and New York, national policy and national opinion polls.).

But let’s return to our exploding wind turbine.  It goes without saying that there must be insurance for these projects.  The key is in identifying the risks and recognizing what can be insured, what requires indemnification or hold harmless agreements, and what risks must be minimized because they cannot be eliminated or transferred.  This is no more than the usual risk management paradigm.

A failed wind turbine is an obvious risk and we can be confident that our Danish wind entrepreneurs procured property insurance.  The description accompanying the video identifies high winds during a storm and a failed braking mechanism as the cause of the calamity. Two technicians barely managed to escape. Debris was hurled 500 meters. While the cause of the loss might seem obvious (high winds and covered), one can be sure the applicable policy was reviewed closely to ensure a "wear and tear" exclusion was not applicable or an anti-concurrent causation clause did not apply.

Less certain is the scope of business interruption insurance available.  While certainly the output of one turbine is now absent, is that enough to trigger business interruption coverage, which often requires a “necessary interruption” of one’s business?  Perhaps more significantly, who bears the risk if the wind does not blow, or the design is not as efficient or productive as anticipated.  Similarly, what are the implications for promises of startup by a certain date or contractual obligations to deliver a certain quantity of power or that certain tax credits will be available. 

Another side of the operation is liability exposure.  Are individuals or property likely to be injured by a failure?  What is the kind of injury?  Again, it is highly unlikely the Danes did not obtain coverage for an individual or vehicle injured or damaged by the failing structure (whether it was the turbine, the blades or the mast).  Other issues are not so obvious.  In England claims have been asserted that infrasonic waves are dangerous.  Low frequency noise complaints or “strobe effects” are claimed to cause injury.  We may expect assertions of loss of property values when windmills disturb high-priced views.  Will a general liability policy pick up these claims? 

The decision on Cape Wind is laudable and necessary for wind energy to become a robust contributor to the nation’s energy mix.  Coverage needs to keep up.
How Do You Spell Certiorari? Climate Change Suits En Banc

"Plaintiffs' homeowner's insurance premiums have dramatically increased as a result of global climate change." So asserts Ned Comer and his co-plaintiffs in their Supplemental Brief on Rehearing En Banc, filed yesterday with the Fifth Circuit in the en banc appeal of Comer v. Murphy Oil USA. Although those premiums do not resurface anywhere else in the brief, presumably their insertion is to demonstrate "an invasion of a legally protected interest which is (a) concrete and particularized and (b) actual and imminent, not 'conjectural' or 'hypothetical'. Lujan v Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560 (1992). In other words, they may establish the constitutional base for standing. Little did we know ....

Unfortunately for the plaintiffs, the requirements for standing do not stop there. The Lujan decision continues: "there must be a causal connection between the injury and the conduct complained of - the injury has to be fairly traceable to the challenged action of the defendant ..." Id.

Plaintiffs are dismissive of the Comer defendants' abilities to sustain their arguments on this point. That may be myopic. The causation hurdle was expressly enunciated in the district court's opinion: "I foresee daunting evidentiary problems for anyone who undertakes to prove, by a preponderance of the evidence, the degree to which global warming is caused by the emission of greenhouse gases; the degree to which the actions of any individual oil company, any individual chemical company, or the collective action of these corporations contribute, through the emission of greenhouse gases, to global warming; and the extent to which the emission of greenhouse gases by these defendants, through the phenomenon of global warming, intensified or otherwise affected the weather system that produced Hurricane Katrina."  Comer v. Nationwide Mut. Ins. Co., Civ. A. No. 1:05 CV 436-LTD-RHW, 2006 WL 1066645, *4 (S.D. Miss. 2006).

Defendants recognize a winning argument and are pressing it in their papers: "Plaintiffs' claims require a piling of inference upon inference to causally connect Defendants' GHG emissions with damages suffered by Plaintiffs during Hurricane Katrina." Petition for Rehearing En Banc.  As stated in the defendants' introduction: "Plaintiffs seek to impose liability on Defendants premised on conclusory and speculative allegations: Defendants' GHG emissions over decades, along with the emissions of millions of other actors around the world, contributed to global warming, which in turn increased ocean temperatures, which in turn raised the possibility of hurricanes forming with increased ferocity, which in turn contributed to Hurricane Katrina's strength, which in turn harmed Plaintiffs."  Id.  Plaintiffs counter, however, that proximate cause simply is not an element of standing analysis.

Coupled with the causation element of standing, defendants also re-assert the political question doctrine, which was adopted by the Native Village of Kivalina v. ExxonMobil trial court (now on appeal to the Ninth Circuit) and the California v. General Motors trial court (appeal abandoned), but rejected by the Second Circuit in Connecticut v. American Electric Power. The Second Circuit likewise rejected the Connecticut defendants' petition for rehearing or rehearing en banc. Observers feel that a petition for certiorari is inevitable.

Oral argument in Comer is scheduled for the week of May 24. It is sure to be interesting. If defendants prevail, the circuit court split increases the chances that climate change will lodge another appearance before the Supreme Court. For my purposes (following insurance issues), I will be watching to see if plaintiffs' premium argument is indeed a premium argument.

Mixed Signals Sent by Governors Raiding RGGI and Clean Energy Budgets

In the past, we've explored the importance of regulatory certainty and the challenges posed by regulatory uncertainty.  Whether financing clean tech and renewable energy projects or deciding which states provide the best incentives for manufacturers and developers of such emerging technologies and renewable projects, a state's regulatory environment plays a critical role.  This is why recent actions by some governors to move money out of the budgets designated for clean tech and renewable energy or energy efficiency projects for use in closing budget gaps raises a concern. 

As known to readers of our climatelawyers blog, the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) was the first mandatory regional cooperative in North America through which ten signatory states in the northeast have committed to cap and then reduce carbon dioxide emissions by setting carbon emission limits on the power industry.  The compliance period began in 2009.  As discussed in a blog entry from September 2009 just after the results of the 5th auction were announced, we posited that the drop in auction prices from the 3rd Auction to the 5th auction may be attributable to the regulatory uncertainty then-apparent as to the future of RGGI in light of the draft climate and energy legislation that was working its way through Congress at the time.  To the extent that the regulatory programs in place provide market signals and some certainty as to the commitment of the RGGI member states to promoting clean tech, renewable energy, and energy efficiency measures, the raiding of these funds creates the opposite effect: it dilutes the efficacy of the regional cap and trade program and sends mixed signals to the very industries that RGGI was intended to encourage.
 
Revenues from the RGGI auctions were specifically designed to help the member states further the goals of the regional cap and trade program and to encourage new clean tech industries to settle in these states, create more jobs in the green and clean tech space, implement greenhouse gas emission reduction and energy efficiency measures, and help customers struggling with energy bills.  As indicated in a press release issued by Governor Paterson in December 2008 following New York's participation in the RGGI auction process, "[t]he RGGI regulations require that the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) use the proceeds for energy efficiency, renewable energy, programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in other sectors of the economy and other initiatives."  In the spring of 2009, NYSERDA approved a plan to invest the RGGI funds.  In December, the New York legislature approved New York's Governor Paterson's proposal to raid the RGGI auction fund, moving $90 million of New York's then-share of the RGGI money (which, at the time comprised half of the total $180 million allocated to New York from the auction proceeds) to the State's general fund to cover the State's budget shortfall.  Following suit, just last week, New Jersey's Governor Christie decided to move $65 million raised through the RGGI auctions (the full amount allocated to New Jersey from the RGGI auctions to date) from the Global Warming Solutions Fund to the general fund to help address the State's deficit.  Connecticut is now contemplating moving money from funds reserved for energy programs to help address its budget shortfall.  In contrast, Rhode Island announced last week that it will not shift RGGI money to fill that state's budget shortfall, noting that state law prevents the governor from moving the nearly $9.3 million received by Rhode Island through the RGGI auctions away from the intended purpose of energy efficiency and renewable energy projects. 
 
No one disputes the reality that the current economy forces states to make difficult decisions.  However, raiding funds that were created through state and regional programs specifically to encourage energy efficiency, renewable energy, and clean tech initiatives creates further regulatory uncertainty when developers and entrepreneurs in these fields require reduction of regulatory risk in order to commit to enter a state and compete in this still-emerging market.  It also sets a troubling precedent and casts a cloud over the potential efficacy of future cap and trade programs proposed on a federal level absent, of course, measures incorporated into such pending federal legislation that prohibits such behavior.  So, while some may think that only environmentalists are opposed to the recent efforts by certain states to address their budget shortfalls by raiding energy efficiency, clean tech and renewable energy funds, there is another significant sector adversely impacted by this behavior: the very industries and entrepreneurs who are looking for regulatory signals that encourage such companies to enter the marketplace and compete globally in the renewable energy, efficiency, and clean tech sectors.

Remember Hurricane Wilma? The Damage is Still Not Paid For

There was scary news out of Florida at the end of last month. Insurers were lobbying the cabinet for an increase in catastrophe fund insurance policyholder fees. This is the surcharge Florida regulators place on every automobile and property policy to pay for the Florida Catastrophe Fund, which needs up to $710 million to pay for 2005 (sic) claims that are still coming in. The Fund managers sought to increase the current surcharge from 1% to 1.3% of premiums.

The increase was rejected by the Florida cabinet, ostensibly because of concerns over fraud. Seems public adjusters in Florida are too effective and have precipitated an unbudgeted increase in payouts from the Fund. The explanation for the increase in claims and payouts is that fraud is being carried on. Cynical observers cite a different reason. Governor Crist is running for the Senate and is not going to be tagged with increasing the cost of insurance.

Whatever the reason, what should really be cause for concern is that the Fund may need an additional $710 million.

I have blogged repeatedly and skeptically on the beach pools and wind pools. Turns out I am not alone. Zurich Insurance Company published a White Paper last summer that makes the point far more eloquently than I did.

In The Climate Risk Challenge: the role of insurance in pricing climate-related risks, http://www.zurich.com/main/insight/introduction.htm, Zurich posits that in addressing climate change, there is a great need to engage the insurance industry's skill in managing risk. The trick is how to engage an industry whose business is protecting private assets, so that that protection furthers the public good.

Zurich points out that this has been done before. Fire protection codes and vehicle safety requirements are two areas of note. Following along in that vein, climate-friendly requirements that are built into zoning and building codes, such as hurricane-proofing structures, mandating energy efficiency, and restricting construction in flood -prone areas, can be supported by insurance products, which will bring market forces into play.

However, as Zurich notes, "The ability of the insurance industry to assist public policy-makers in the effective and efficient implementation of climate change policy is to a large extent dependent on [policymakers'] willingness to resist the temptation to distort markets in a manner that interferes with the role of and ability of insurers to send price signals about risk." Distortion seems rampant in Florida. In the fifth year after Hurricane Wilma, the Florida Catastrophe Fund still lacks sufficient funds to pay for those claims. Perhaps more significantly, the procedure in place to pay for those losses cannot do so.

Zurich's tag-line is "Because change happenZ." I would amend that. "Because climate change is happening." Policymakers need to tap into the experts who manage the balance between risk exposure and financial sustainability. Until the Florida insurance market reflects true price signals for risk, those experts are very likely to remain sitting on the sidelines and Florida's hurricane risk effectively uninsured.

CDP 2010 Is Upon Us

We talked in January about the SEC's disclosure guidance and noted the relevance of the Carbon Disclosure Project. It's almost as if I have a hotline to 40 Bowling Green Lane in London, where the CDP offices are. I receved earlier this week their announcement of the 2010 questionnaire. It has been sent to 4,500 companies globally. The number of institutional investors behind the mailing is over 500 "with a combined US$64 trillion of assets under management."

The email has this to say about the SEC guidance: "CDP welcomes the recent climate change risk disclosure guidance by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); an important step in helping US companies better report material climate change impacts to their investors."

Following one of the links in the email, I proceeded to the CDP webpage, where I learned more. The CDP recognizes one of the critical weaknesses of climate change data in a global marketplace: "There is currently no global carbon disclosure framework and ... to minimize the financial and reporting burden for companies, guidance on disclosure of climate change information must be as harmonized as possible."

To achieve that end, CDP manages the activities of the Climate Disclosure Standards Board (CDSB). The CDSB has prepared a draft Reporting Framework www.cdsb-global.org/uploads/pdf/CDSB_Reporting_Framework.pdf to further the dialogue of disclosure. In the CDSB's words: "the Reporting Framework provides a workable filter for companies to identify, and for investors to see, the major trends and significant events related to climate change that affect a company’s current or future financial condition."

The interesting question in all this is whether at the beginning of the period of climate change, "a workable filter" can be established. To be honest, we do not know all the effects climate change will visit upon us.  Yet any measurement system is required to make assumptions about what is and what is not important. What is important is disclosed, what is not important is ignored, even suppressed.

By way of example, the information from which one could have concluded that sub-prime mortgages and collateralized debt obligations were problematic was available throughout the period leading up to the financial meltdown of 2008. The financial markets, investors, corporations and governments had well-developed systems to identify, process and deliver information concerning the risks and opportunities of certain investments. Somehow, however, all the appropriate signals were missed and billions of dollars disappeared overnight.

We need to be aware of this possibility as we move forward with reporting climate change risks and opportunities. Development of a uniform system is no doubt valuable. But if it leads to a failure to identify certain risks because those risks are invisible because of how the framework is drawn, then it does not help, it hurts.

Disclosure Pressure Ratchets Upward - Will D&O Policies Provide Cover?

I concluded that I needed to pay more attention to climate change issues when I attended a seminar in 2005 and one of the speakers commented that inadequate climate change disclosures would not be covered under a D&O policy because of the pollution exclusion. Could it be so?

The argument was deceptively simple. Carbon dioxide was a "pollutant." The inadequate disclosure "arose" out of the "release" of carbon dioxide. There is no coverage for same. Q.E.D.

Thoughtful analysis, however, dispatches this canard. As we have written previously, carbon dioxide should not be classified as a pollutant. It does not irritate or contaminate: it is biologically benign except at impossibly high concentrations, and it is found in the atmosphere in billions of tons, a natural and essential constituent. And because it does not make the atmosphere impure, it is not a pollutant.

But one does not even have to reach that conclusion. Any liability alleged against a director or officer for inadequate disclosure of risks from rising CO2 levels, arises from the inadequate disclosure not from the release of carbon dioxide. Cf. Owens Corning v. National Union Fire Insurance Co., No. 97-3367, 1998 WL 774109 (6th Cir. Oct. 13, 1998) (alleged inadequate disclosure of asbestos risk); Boliden Ltd. v. Liberty Mutual Insurance Co., Dkt. No. 05-CV-284493PD1, 2007 CanLII 11309 (Ont. Super. Ct. Apr. 3, 2007) (ore processing risks); Sealed Air v. Royal Indem. Co., 961 A.2d 1195, 404 N.J. Super. 363 (App. Div. 2008) (asbestos risk). But see National Union Fire Insurance Co. v. U.S. Liquids, Inc., 88 Fed. Appx. 725 (5th Cir. 2004) (per curiam) (pollution exclusion applies to allegations of improper disclosure of illegal toxic waste disposal).

The requirements for disclosure are ratcheting upward. It started with activist shareholders requesting climate change disclosure at their companies' annual meetings. Next came the Carbon Disclosure Project, which over time has enlisted over 2000 companies in their annual reporting. See cdproject.net. In 2007, New York Attorney General Cuomo served subpoenas on certain publicly traded electric utilities and a coal company (based far from New York), seeking information on their climate change disclosures. New York has settled with three of the five companies, Xcel Energy, Dynegy and most recently with AES Corp. Dominion Resources and Peabody Energy remain in the dispute. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners weighed in with their disclosure requirements for insurance companies in 2009 (effective 2010). And now, with the publication of the SEC's recent interpretive guidance on climate change disclosures, it is only a matter of time before some investor's prescience is not rewarded and he or she or it concludes that the fault lies not in the stars, but in a corporate prospectus.

Should that come to pass, we anticipate the corporation will tender the claim to its D&O insurer for a defense. Undoubtedly the insurer will consider asserting the application of the policy's pollution exclusion. The ultimate result will depend on all the facts. One fact will be the extent and timing of disclosures. Another, however, could be that the policyholder had the pollution exclusion endorsed out its policy. That is a step the risk manager could be taking right now, regardless of what the corporate lawyers ultimately conclude about disclosure.

Climate Change Disclosure at the SEC - A Move for Consistency

It has been our view for a number of years that climate change disclosures are not for every publicly traded company. What is for each of those companies, however, is the need to take a close look at the risks and opportunities posed by climate change and to assess their importance for the company's specific circumstances.

The Securities & Exchange Commission has now reached a similar conclusion. In a press release this past Wednesday, the SEC announced its decision (3-2 on partisan lines) to provide interpretive guidance on existing SEC disclosure requirements applicable to legal and business developments relating to climate change.

As stated in the press release,

http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-15.htm, the Commission's interpretive releases "are intended to provide clarity and enhance consistency for public companies and their investors." As further stated by Commissioner Schapiro, the application of this guidance to climate change is not an opinion on "whether the world's climate is changing, at what pace it might be changing, or due to what causes." The SEC expressly was not "weighing in" on those topics.

Nonetheless, some who are familiar with the SEC's inner workings were surprised and acknowledged that it is a big deal for the SEC to take such a step in confirming its interpretation of the applicable disclosure regulations as they relate to global warming risks. Environmentalists and leading state pension fund investors have long argued that the SEC should issue such guidance and formally requested such action in a peition filed with the SEC in 2007.

The guidance identifies various areas where disclosure might be required:

1. Legislation and regulation that may impact a business. (e.g., the effect a carbon tax may have on revenue)

2. International agreements that may impact a business. (e.g., the lapse of the Kyoto Protocol may change the need for carbon credits)

3. Regulation and business trends that may have indirect consquences on a business (e.g., refrigerator manufacturers may need to assess energy efficiency as a business trend)

4. Physical impacts of climate change. (e.g., a shipping company may need to evaluate the effect of a melting icecap and the opening of the Northwest Passage)

After reading this list, some will certainly conclude that the guidance offers nothing new. Each of these subjects falls within one of the disclosure requirements already on the books for many years. For example, Item 303 of Regulation S-K requires the disclosure in management's discussion and analysis of circumstances materially affecting one's business. If rising sea levels can be determined to pose a material risk to casino operators on the Atlantic seaboard, then disclosure is required. In similar fashion, brethren in Nevada may need to discuss the impact of perpetual drought in the American southwest. Whether these outcomes are the result of climate change is not relevant to the disclosure obligation. Whether they are material is.

Likewise, Item 101 would capture disclosure of legislation and regulation material to one's operations. If a carbon tax or cap-and-trade program has a material impact on one's bottom line, one does not need the new guidance to make disclosure.

On the other hand corporate disclosures to date are uneven. The Carbon Disclosure Project,

http://www.cdproject.net, has been soliciting disclosure from the world's publicly-traded companies for several years. A review of those reports is striking in the variation of both the scope and detail of the disclosures. As a result of the guidance, however, one can now expect disclosing institutions to be reviewing the disclosures of their peers, in order to assess more precisely what needs to be said.

The SEC's decision was not the first regulatory pronouncement on climate change disclosure. Last year the National Association of Insurance Commissioners promulgated rules for their regulated community (insurance companies). We do not expect the SEC's guidance to be the last word either. Regulated entities will do well to pay close attention.

 

16 States Back EPA in Suit Challenging Endangerment Finding

It has only been a month since an organization called the Coalition for Responsible Regulation, Inc. filed suit in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit challenging the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s endangerment finding and, already, 16 states have lined up with the EPA, seeking to intervene in support of the challenged regulation.

 

The challenged regulation, entitled “Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act” (the “Final Rule”), was published in the Federal Register on December 15, 2009 and was issued by the EPA in response to the U.S. Supreme Court’s landmark decision in Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497 (2007).  The rules regulate emissions of greenhouse gases from new motor vehicles and engines. 

 

In the Final Rule, the Administrator finds that “the body of scientific evidence compellingly supports” her conclusion that “greenhouse gases in the atmosphere may reasonably be anticipated both to endanger public health and to endanger public welfare.” She defines the resulting air pollution referred to in Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act to be “the mix of six long-lived and directly-emitted greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O)), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfer hexafluoride (SF6).”  The Administrator concluded that the mix of greenhouse gases from transportation sources contribute to the climate change problem, which is reasonably anticipated to endanger public health and welfare.

 

The Final Rule triggers the EPA’s statutory duty to promulgate regulations establishing emissions standards for motor vehicles covered by Section 202(a)of the Clean Air Act.

 

Noting that the Court’s action on the petition for review will affect the public health and welfare of their residents and will also affect a host of global warming impacts that the proposed intervenors are suffering, the following states seek to intervene in support of the EPA: Commonwealth of Massachusetts and the States of Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Iowa, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington.  The City of New York also filed in support of the EPA.

 

Notably absent from the Motion for Leave to Intervene as Respondents is the State of New Jersey, from which EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson came as the prior Commissioner of the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection. New Jersey, which just last week inaugurated new Republican Governor Chris Christie, who unseated Democrat Jon Corzine, formerly supported climate change litigation and was among the states challenging the EPA in Massachusetts v. EPA.  The following states were not in the Massachusetts v. EPA case but joined the fight now in support of the regulations: Arizona, Delaware, Iowa, Maryland and New Hampshire.

Top 10 List for Solar as Connecticut Considers Solar Strategy

As the legislative season heats up again in Connecticut, with a session scheduled to commence in early February, some energy industry lawyers, policymakers and leading Legislators themselves have been talking over the last few weeks about what Connecticut should do to improve the deployment of renewables generally and solar in particular.  There seems to be more recognition that, for Connecticut to achieve its broad greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies and climate change mitigation goals, more needs to be done to promote investment in renewables in the state and, if green jobs can be created along the way, all the better.

A question that keeps coming up in Connecticut is how New Jersey, which has a similar climate and is not even in the top-ten list among states with respect to the intensity of sunshine, could achieve status as the state with the second largest quantity of installed solar photovoltaic capacity, second only to California.  If you look at per-square-mile or per-capita statistics, New Jersey can even boast that it has the most installed solar projects in the U.S.

So what has New Jersey done to promote solar PV?

After implementing one of the more aggressive renewable portfolio standards (RPS) in the country as part of the Energy Master Plan, with its mandate that 22.5% of the energy supply be generated from renewable sources by 2021, the NJ RPS also contains a solar “carve out” of 2.12% by 2021.  This is the amount of energy supply required to come from solar PV.  The state also decided to wean itself from the grant-based program except for residential and small commercial on-site solar P/V installers, because the available grant funds alone would not support the growth needed to achieve the RPS and solar carve-out.  And so, the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities adopted a rule that instituted a massive increase in the “alternative compliance payment,” or ACP, for solar from $350 (the amount for other renewables) to initially $711 per megawatt hour.  This is the amount that has to be paid into the fund if load-serving entities do not have enough solar energy in their portfolios.  And hence, the solar renewable energy certificate, or SREC, was given a massive increase in valuation.  Since SRECs typically trade at 75% to 80% of the ACP, market values for SRECs rose to the $600 to $650 range.

Especially when these state incentives are combined with the federal renewable energy investment tax credit and accelerated depreciation allowed, the market signals sent in New Jersey to the solar industry have attracted business investment on a grand scale, created green jobs and market-based renewable investments along the way.

In my view, Connecticut needs to take similar steps.  The following strategies would help Connecticut facilitate deployment of solar photovoltaic installations in a market-based approach that reduces the reliance on direct governmental grants, promote the creation of green jobs, and attract private capital investments.  Here’s my Top-10 List:

1.      Create a Solar PV Carve-out within the Class I RPS to mandate separate solar RPS.

2.      Create separately-recognized solar renewable energy certificates, or SRECs.

3.      Substantially increase the alternative compliance payment amount for solar PV.

4.      Allow electric distribution companys (EDCs) to conduct auctions or otherwise conduct a process to acquire long-term SREC contracts (+/- 15 years), but mandate transparent pricing to send market signals in real time.

5.      Allow EDCs and capacity and peaking generation contractors to install on-site solar (with reasonable size limits to protect viability of non-utility market for projects) and recover project costs through rate base.  (For private wholesale generation sites, this can be done through a cost of service contract for differences with an EDC.)

6.      Establish one-stop-shopping with the Connecticut Department of Public Utility Control or other capable agency to certify completion and verify qualifying amounts of SRECs generated by a solar project installed in Connecticut with transparent market prices to facilitate open trading of SRECs.

7.      Authorize Connecticut to negotiate a compact or memorandum of understanding  with New Jersey and other states with similar programs to allow for the cross-border recognition and free trade of SRECs (at least through other states that comprise the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) or Northeast regional transmission organizations (i.e., ISO New England, ISO-NY, and PJM) with comparable GIS tracking systems).

8.      Adjust real and personal property tax law to ensure that solar improvements are not taxed.

9.      Revise zoning law to define solar as a beneficial use such that solar projects cannot be denied without substantial evidence in a written record finding that a solar project is not a beneficial use in a specific case.  Consider establishing exclusive jurisdiction for larger scale solar PV projects with the Connecticut Siting Council for projects equal to or greater than 1MW to expedite siting by petition for declaratory ruling.

10.  Allow for unlimited size of net metered solar projects behind customer meters provided that system size cannot be greater than customer’s on-site electricity requirements, subject to standard interconnection agreement with EDC following EDC confirmation of no adverse impact on distribution system. 

Please write in on this blog and let me know what would be on your wish list to help facilitate the deployment of solar and other renewables in Connecticut.

Cartographical Risk and Rising Sea Levels

I had both eyes opened this past Friday. The Mayor of Belmar spoke at the Climate Change Impacts & Challenges for New Jersey Businesses & Coastal Communities conference sponsored by Monmouth University and the Urban Coast Institute. His topic: the responses to climate change he is overseeing in his New Jersey Shore community. Disaster planning is a big part of it. So are self-sufficiency and community response. We expect such attitudes in communities "that go down to the sea in ships, that do business in great waters." It was somewhat disconcerting to see that perspective surfacing where we go to play, not to work.

I spoke after the Mayor. Surprisingly, the audience stayed with me. My topic: cartographical risk - fancy language for the business risk associated with mapping. My premise is that with rising sea levels intimate knowledge of where the lines are going to be drawn will be a source of business success. I settled on the high-tide line for my talk (but could have chosen flood plains, wetlands, critical habitat - all of which will be in flux as the climate changes).

In New Jersey, as in many other places, the State owns up to the mean high tide mark. Beyond that are the uplands, which are governed by the usual rules of real estate practice. Owners of the littoral (shorefront), however, have a different set of rules. They welcome accretion and reliction (which add to their holdings) and despair at erosion and inundation (which take away). The law enforces these concepts under the basic premise that the gain of the littoral owner is balanced by the risk of loss. Because the shorefront property can be gone tomorrow with no compensation to the owner, it is just to permit the owner to enjoy the benfit of natural accretions to his fee.

The common law is well-settled on these topics, at least where the movement of the sea (and the land with it) is lateral, not up and down. But what will the law say when all the shoreline property owners are being slowly submerged and not one is gaining; all are losing.

One answer may be that the submerged owners (now former owners because the State will have defeased them by virtue of its title to all lands below high tide) retain some interest that justifies compensation. In Ocean City Association v. Shriver, 64 N.J.L. 550 (E.&A. 1900), Mr. Shriver sought to benefit from the high tide line's advance over the Association's beach and onto his property. When the line retreated a few years later, he claimed the newly evident beach. The appellate court affirmed his view. The Court of Errors and Appeals was not so hospitable and reversed. It held that the status of riparian (sic) owner was never conveyed to Shriver and, accordingly, the common law rules applicable to that class did not apply to him. Thus, the Association's right to the beach was restored.

Apparently, the State's advancing ownership of the newly submerged lands did not extinguish all of the Association's rights in that land. If the land dried out, the Association's rights were restored.

This is an important issue for at least two reasons. First, it is the rare property policy that insures land itself. Those at the shore whose front doors start opening in the surf will need to seek compensation elsewhere. Second, billions of dollars of land value are likely to be lost if the oceans rise half a meter. Will the law carry on as it did when ocean levels were static? Or will it adjust so that there is some equity in the adjustment of the rights and obligations of everyone involved: those whose land is submerged receive some compensation and those whose land becomes the new shoreline make some payment for their climate change windfall. l

Figuring this out will be essential to economic success at the shore. Knowing where that high-tide line is, or will be, may make all the difference. Hence, certain cartographers may be well worth knowing.

NJ Proposes Net Metering Rule Change, Expanding On-Site DG

By Shawn Smith

McCarter & English, Hartford Office

The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (BPU) recently proposed an amendment to its net metering rule that will create an even greater economic incentive for utility customers to develop on-site renewable energy, especially solar energy systems.

 

The proposed amendment would eliminate the 2 megawatt (MW) limit on the size of renewable energy systems eligible for net metering, which would lift an obstacle for large-scale solar projects.  This gives customers the opportunity to develop larger renewable energy systems to generate renewable energy and offset their electric bills.  By developing new systems or expanding upon existing ones, customers can take advantage of the economic and environmental benefits of net metering.

 

The net metering rules allow customers which generate on-site electricity using Class I renewable energy sources, such as solar, to connect with the local electric distribution company (EDC) and generate electricity on the customer’s side of (or “behind”) the meter.  The net meter virtually “spins both ways,” meaning that the EDC will either charge the customer for electricity supplied in excess of that generated on site by the renewable project, or credit the customer for purchases resulting from excess energy generated by the renewable energy source.  Under the existing net metering rules, a renewable energy system cannot (1) generate more than 2 MW of electricity, or (2) exceed the annual amount of “electricity supplied by the electric power supplier or basic generation service provider to the customer.”  The 2 MW restriction created a ceiling that limited the ability for larger commercial customers to take advantage of net metering.

 

By proposing to lift the ceiling, the BPU is inviting customers (or third-party developers using power purchase agreements, for example) to invest in larger renewable energy systems that generate more than 2 MW of electricity.  Such a policy shift helps the state to achieve its ambitious objectives set forth in the Energy Master Plan of  achieving 22.5% of renewables, including a renewable portfolio standard target of 2.12% of all energy sold in NJ coming from solar generation.

 

Despite arguments from some owners of large warehouses and developers seeking to build utility-scale solar projects on vacant property sites, the BPU rejected calls to revise the second net metering condition, which requires that a renewable energy system’s generating capacity be equal to or less than the average amount of electricity consumed by that customer on site either from that supplied annually by an electric power supplier or the EDC in the form of basic generation service.  Nevertheless, the potential economic payoff for customers investing in renewable energy projects is clear--the larger the renewable energy system, the lower their electric bill.

 

When the net metering rule is combined with other New Jersey regulatory incentives that promote solar projects, especially as the available federal investment tax credits and accelerated depreciation credits provide enhanced opportunities to support solar projects, the solar industry is expected to continue to focus its business development efforts on NJ and larger-scale sites can expect the solar industry to come knocking. 

 

The proposed amendment provides a particularly significant opportunity for commercial customers to develop or expand upon solar energy systems to take advantage of the substantial market incentives for solar that exist in New Jersey.  New Jersey has encouraged the development of solar energy through its Energy Master Plan (EMP) and the market for Solar Renewable Energy Certificates (SRECs). New Jersey’s solar market, which is the second-largest in the United States (second only to California), continues to grow as a result of these efforts. 

 

The BPU is soliciting comments on the proposed amendment to the net metering rule through March 5.  Anyone interested in submitting comments is free to do so.

 

Another notable proposal of the BPU concerns New Jersey’s “Prevailing Wage Law,” which requires the BPU to adopt regulations to ensure that the prevailing wage rate be paid to workers “employed in the performance of certain contracts for construction undertaken in connection with board [BPU] financial assistance.”  Renewable energy projects constructed with BPU’s financial assistance will soon be subject to the prevailing wage requirements if the BPU proposal is adopted.  The BPU is soliciting comments on the prevailing wage law through March 5.  Anyone interested in submitting comments is free to do so.

 

Finally, in yet another effort to expand renewables, the BPU opened the door for renewable energy projects located outside of New Jersey, other than solar, to qualify for New Jersey RECs.  Previously, only on-site renewable energy facilities directly connected to a New Jersey EDC’s distribution system could qualify for RECs.  Now, pursuant to the new regulation adopted recently, the BPU is allowing qualifying renewable projects located outside of New Jersey, except solar, to obtain New Jersey RECs provided these projects are connected to the PJM Interconnection, L.L.C.’s (PJM) generator information system for tracking renewable energy.  PJM is a non-profit regional transmission organization that coordinates the movement of wholesale electricity in all or parts of 13 states and the District of Columbia, including Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Maryland.

The Top 7+ Climate Change Insurance Topics for the New Year

Crystal balls are preferred by some over tea leaves; others resort to reading entrails. We all seek some assistance as we peer into the future at the cusp of a new year and a new decade. I am no exception, my divining rod: an imprecise dialog with peers and the ever-probing investigation of Google. So here goes a look at coverage in a world of climate change in 2010.

1. The lead story in this area will have to be a decision in Steadfast Insurance Company v The AES Company. In July 2007 Steadfast brought suit against its insured to ascertain coverage obligations in the climate change lawsuit, Native Village of Kivalina v ExxonMobil Corp. Steadfast moved for summary judgment last March; the motion is fully briefed. A decision should be forthcoming. Regardless of how it comes out (unless there is no decision), the ruling will be significant, if only because it will be the first climate change coverage decision.

2. Will the beach pools continue to avoid disaster? Since Katrina in 2005, United States hurricane seasons have been relatively tame. After predicting an above average season last year, meteorologists had to backtrack and acknowledge a below average season. At some point, the averages will catch up and a Category 5 storm will make landfall here. When that happens we will learn whether the post-loss funding mechanisms will fly, or whether a different legislative fix (even a federal fix) will take over.

3a. New products are the name of the game. Insurance is no different. The Property and Casualty carriers have been rolling out green building coverages focused on certification, re-building upgrades, and recycling. Carbon sequestration projects have found cover. Policies covering carbon credits are less apparent. Expect more innovation, but also expect some re-tooling as the carriers respond to more and better information about what they are insuring, and what insureds want.

3b. Don't take my word on this. Dr. Evan Mills of the Environmental Energy Technologies Division of the Department of Energy has annually and comprehensively assessed insurer responses to climate change. Let's hope there continues to be funding for his important work.

4. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners last March established requirements for insurers to disclose climate change risk. The first disclosures are due on May 1. If past history is any metric, the quality of the disclosures will be all over the map. One can be sure the SEC and state regulators will be paying close attention. The SEC has received numerous petitions seeking the same types of requirements for other industries. State regulators are concerned that climate change threatens the viability of insurers.

5. The Carbon Disclosure Project is on an asymptotic roll. It started slowly in 2003 but since 2006 the CDP has grown at an ever-increasing clip (2204 in 2008, up from 1449 in 2007, which is from 922 in 2006). And it has real heft behind it: "on behalf of 475 institutional investors, holding $55 trillion in assets under management and some 60 purchasing organizations such as Cadbury, PepsiCo and Walmart." The CDP reports annually on corporate climate change statements; its cutoff date for the 2009 report was February 1. Companies wishing to join the ever-increasing number of disclosing entities in 2010 will have to move smartly. (For those pondering the link to insurance, the NAIC rule accepts CDP disclosure.)

6. The climate change risk management dialog will become more sophisticated. Climate change will be a disaster for some; for others it will be a golden annuity. Assessing those risks and opportunities will be key to commercial success. As an example, the cement industry is one of the major identified sources of carbon emissions. Yet if adaptation proceeds, cement is going to be a primary element in the "armoring" of the coast. But does one build in a developing country and export the cement with accompanying political risk and transportation cost, or does one make cement where it will be used. Figuring out the successful business plan will not be simple and risk managers and their consultants will have a lot to keep track of.

7. The absolute carbon dioxide exclusion will remain only theoretical. Insurers will continue to rely on their pollution exclusions to stave off any coverage liability for carbon dioxide claims. Don't expect a different approach until the pollution exclusion gets nicked.

If you've gotten this far, you deserve a holiday (I find this stuff interesting, but many do not). So take tomorrow off. Contemplate the future and then grab it. It is the only one we have.

Best wishes for 2010.

 

Senator Kerry's, Lieberman's and Graham's Climate Change "Framework" Lacks Substance

In a bid to give some muscle to United States climate change negotiators in Copenhagen, Senators Kerry, Graham and Lieberman unveiled Thursday a "framework" for a Senate climate change bill. See http://www.scribd.com/doc/23946492/12-10-09-Kerry-Graham-Lieberman-Climate-Framework  The thinking is that U.S. credibility took a big hit when the Kyoto Protocol died in the Senate. This time, any agreement will be informed by the position of the Senate, communicated to the world at large.

 

So what exactly was this position? The envisioned bill will do the following:

 

Produce better jobs and cleaner air.

Secure energy independence.

Create regulatory predictability.

Protect consumers.

Encourage nuclear power.

Ensure a future for coal.

Revive American manufacturing by creating jobs.

Create wealth for domestic agriculture and forestry.

Regulate the carbon market.

 

Does this move the ball forward? I am skeptical. Every one of these subjects will have proponents and opponents who will lobby for their particular interest. To take just two: energy independence and regulatory predictability.

 

1. Energy independence. If independence were that simple, it would have been figured out sometime in the last four decades since the oil embargos of 1967 and 1973. But instead, America's dependence on foreign oil has only increased. If America is going to be energy independent, that might mean increased use of coal (critics there), or nuclear power (critics there), or ethanol (critics there), or tar sands (critics there). If you read sober scientific assessments of the environmental impact of any nationally meaningful collection of solar arrays, you see literally millions of acres overlain by panels, facilities and conduit (more critics there). In short, everyone (except oil exporters) is for energy independence; the issue is how to get there. The framework offers little to assist in that regard.

 

2. Regulatory predictability. With California's AB32 and RGGI, the States initiated climate change regulation in this country. Two things were important to States in taking the lead. First, they were able to order climate change regulation in accordance with their priorities, not someone else's. Second, they were able to tap a new source of revenue. The framework (properly I believe) wants to take all that over. Nevertheless, it is exceedingly unlikely that the States will go quietly into the night and just let Uncle Sam do whatever he pleases.

 

It is trite (but that doesn't make it untrue) to say: the devil is in the details. That is exactly the case with climate change laws and regulations. The framework contains plenty of rhetoric* but little more than that. What business needs are the new rules of the game. That is the framework that really needs to be published.

 

*Speaking of rhetoric, we have a long way to go. The Senators quote Jim Rogers on the need to "ignite" a revolution and put the recession in the "rear-view mirror." Too much ignition and rear-view-mirror-vehicles are what got us into this mess in the first place. Maybe some new metaphors (to go with the new rules) are needed too.